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Tag: macro

17 articles

Week in Markets W22 cover - Oil collapses on Iran de-escalation, S&P 8th straight week, Dow record, FOMC splits, consumer sentiment record low, Warsh sworn in
Week in Markets

Week in Markets: Oil Collapses on Iran De-Escalation, S&P 8th Straight Week, Dow Record, FOMC Splits, Sentiment Hits Record Low, Warsh Sworn In

Oil collapsed as Trump called off an Iran strike and said the war would end "very quickly," with Brent down 6% to $103.54 and WTI breaking below $100. The S&P 500 posted an 8th straight weekly gain and the Dow closed at a record 50,579.70. But the FOMC minutes revealed the most divided Fed since 1992 with four dissents and a hike bias, University of Michigan consumer sentiment hit an all-time low of 44.8, and five-year inflation expectations jumped to 3.9%. Kevin Warsh was sworn in as the 17th Fed Chair Friday. Nvidia posted a record $81.6B quarter. Walmart guidance disappointed on fuel costs. Bitcoin held flat near $77,000, rejected below $80K for a third week, as spot BTC ETFs bled $1.26B. HYPE surged 40%+ on its first US spot ETFs. The market traded the exit before the deal was signed.

Week in Markets W21 cover - CPI 3.8%, PPI 6%, 30-year tops 5%, Warsh confirmed Fed Chair, BTC tests 200-DMA, ETFs lose $1B
Week in Markets

Week in Markets: CPI 3.8%, PPI 6%, 30-Year Tops 5%, Warsh Confirmed 54-45, BTC Tests 200-DMA, ETFs Lose $1B

April CPI hit 3.8% YoY (highest since May 2023) and PPI surged to 6.0% YoY, the largest monthly producer-price gain since March 2022. The 30-year Treasury crossed 5% for the first time since May 2025. The Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh as the 17th Fed Chair 54-45, the closest in modern history. Trump-Xi summit thin on tariffs, delivered Boeing 200-jet letter of intent. Iran ceasefire collapsed, Brent reclaimed $108 (+8%). Bitcoin tested 200-DMA at $82,028 and was rejected for the second consecutive week, closed Friday $80,832. Spot BTC ETFs lost $1.0B ending a six-week positive streak. Solana diverged +13-15% on Alpenglow upgrade. CLARITY Act cleared Senate Banking 15-9.

Week in Markets W20 cover - Brent crashes 14% on Iran MOU scoop, S&P at record, Nasdaq breaks 26k, AMD data center +57%
Week in Markets

Week in Markets: Brent Crashes 14% on Iran MOU Scoop, S&P at Record, Nasdaq Breaks 26k, AMD Data Center +57%

Brent crude collapsed from $116 to $101 in three trading sessions on Trump's Project Freedom pause and the Axios scoop of a one-page MOU with Iran. The S&P 500 closed at a fresh record 7,398.93, the sixth consecutive weekly gain. Nasdaq broke 26,000 for the first time at 26,247.08. April NFP printed +115K against +55-60K consensus. AMD reported Q1 data center revenue +57% YoY to $5.8B. Bitcoin tested the 200-DMA at $82,228 and failed, closing $79,743 (+1.98%). Spot BTC ETF flows V-shape: $999M+ in early week, $414M out Thursday-Friday, 7-day net still +$1.48B.

Week in Markets W19 cover - Brent prints $126, Fed holds with 4 dissents, S&P at fresh record, Mag-7 raises AI capex by $25B
Week in Markets

Week in Markets: Brent at $126, S&P at Record, Fed Holds With 4 Dissents, Mag-7 Raises AI Capex

Brent printed $126.41 intraday Thursday, the highest in four years. The Fed held with 4 dissents, the most since October 1992. Q1 GDP missed at 2.0% with PCE deflator at 4.5%, a textbook stagflation print. Apple delivered $111.2B revenue and $100B buyback. Alphabet GCP +63%, AWS +28%. The Mag-7 raised 2026 capex by $25B in a single week. S&P at fresh record 7,230, Nasdaq broke 25,000. Bitcoin tested $80k, failed, closed flat at $78,292. ETF flows turned net negative for the first time in 3 months.

Week in Markets W18 cover - Brent at $105, S&P at records, Intel best day since 1987, Warsh kills the cut path
Week in Markets

Week in Markets: Brent at $105, S&P at Records, Intel's Best Day Since 1987, Warsh Kills the Cut Path

Brent crude closed +16% on the week at $105.33, the largest weekly move in years. S&P and Nasdaq closed at fresh records. Intel had its best day since 1987 (+24% Friday). Iran seized two tankers in Hormuz, Trump ordered "shoot and kill" on Iranian boats, and Pakistan talks collapsed. Warsh testimony killed the Fed cut path. Bitcoin closed +5.8% but rejected $80K despite $2.1B in 8-day ETF inflows and Strategy's $2.54B buy.

Week in Markets W07 - BTC crashes to 60K, GOLD recovers, AMZN drops 12%
Week in Markets

Week in Markets: The Week Crypto Broke

Bitcoin crashed to $60K in the worst drop since FTX. $2.6B liquidated. Fear & Greed hit 9. Gold recovered while crypto bled. AI capex shock from GOOGL and AMZN totaled $375B.